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1. Consider what happens when you throw two dice. You can ask the
question "what's the probability of getting a total of 8 when the
first one is 5?. Or in more generality:
what's the probability of getting a total of when the
first one is ?. The answer is a function of two variables,
and . You could call the result . How do you define
averages in this case? For example, what's the average value of .
You could determine
by throwing the dice repeatedly
taking the number of the first die and multiplying by the total.
What you get should be equivalent to
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(1.36) |
but that's a sum over a lot of possibilities, all possible values of and .
Instead use independence
to solve this problem in analogy to what we just did for the two dice.
josh
2010-10-20
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